Evaluation of the energy transition in the process of renewable sources expansion - a case study.
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Date
2021
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Abstract
Considering the risks related to energy security and the challenges posed by climate
change, this work presents a methodology to investigate energy alternatives to promote
an adequate energy transition. Such methodology was applied to a case study,
modelling the energy system of the Brazilian State of Minas Gerais to subsidize an
energy transition with a view to expanding renewable energies and promoting energy
efficiency at the state and municipal levels, as well as combating climate change.
Projections, in the 2030-2050 horizon, were made using the tool Long-range Energy
Alternatives Planning System (LEAP) to establish a model of energy transition policy for
Minas Gerais State. The modelling considered key assumptions based on historical data
of demographic and economic origin, which subsidized the elaboration of three
scenarios, being a Reference Scenario (REF), a Moderate Energy Transition Scenario
(ETM) that aims to contribute to the energy sector goals of the Brazilian NationallyDetermined Contributions – NDC, and an Advanced Energy Transition Scenario (ETA)
that goes beyond of NDC's goals. The analysis has shown that current policies are not
sufficient to promote the state transition to sustainable energy systems and that this
process will depend on the energy policies initiated and implemented in the near future.
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Keywords
Energy policy, Energy matrix, Energy transition, Renewable energy, Long-range energy alternatives planning system
Citation
ANJOS, M. M. dos et al. Evaluation of the energy transition in the process of renewable sources expansion - a case study. Global Journal of Energy Technology
Research Updates, v. 8, p. 35-53, dez. 2021. Disponível em: <https://avantipublishers.com/index.php/gjetru/article/view/1153>. Acesso em: 03 maio 2023.