Seasonal and nonseasonal dynamics of Aedes aegypti in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil : fitting mathematical models to trap data.

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dc.contributor.authorLana, Raquel Martins
dc.contributor.authorCarneiro, Tiago Garcia de Senna
dc.contributor.authorRocha, Nildimar Honorio
dc.contributor.authorCodeço, Cláudia Torres
dc.date.accessioned2015-01-26T11:17:52Z
dc.date.available2015-01-26T11:17:52Z
dc.date.issued2014
dc.description.abstractMathematical models suggest that seasonal transmission and temporary cross-immunity betweenserotypes can determine the characteristic multi-year dynamics of dengue fever. Seasonal transmis-sion is attributed to the effect of climate on mosquito abundance and within host virus dynamics. In thisstudy, we validate a set of temperature and density dependent entomological models that are built-incomponents of most dengue models by fitting them to time series of ovitrap data from three distinctneighborhoods in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. The results indicate that neighborhoods differ in the strength ofthe seasonal component and that commonly used models tend to assume more seasonal structure thanfound in data. Future dengue models should investigate the impact of heterogeneous levels of seasonalityon dengue dynamics as it may affect virus maintenance from year to year, as well as the risk of diseaseoutbreaks.pt_BR
dc.identifier.citationLANA, R. M. et al. Seasonal and nonseasonal dynamics of Aedes aegypti in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: fitting mathematical models to trap data. Acta Tropica, v. 1, p. 25-32, 2013. Disponível em: <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0001706X13002052>. Acesso em: 23 jan. 2015.pt_BR
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.actatropica.2013.07.025
dc.identifier.issn0001-706X
dc.identifier.urihttp://www.repositorio.ufop.br/handle/123456789/4368
dc.language.isoen_USpt_BR
dc.rights.licenseThis article is published under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-No Derivatives License (CC BY NC ND). For non-commercial purposes you may distribute and copy the article and include it in a collective work (such as an anthology), provided you do not alter or modify the article, without permission from Elsevier. The original work must always be appropriately credited. Fonte: Elsevier <https://s100.copyright.com/AppDispatchServlet>. Acesso em: 21 jan. 2015.pt_BR
dc.subjectAedes aegyptipt_BR
dc.subjectMathematical modelpt_BR
dc.subjectDenguept_BR
dc.subjectSeasonalitypt_BR
dc.titleSeasonal and nonseasonal dynamics of Aedes aegypti in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil : fitting mathematical models to trap data.pt_BR
dc.typeArtigo publicado em periodicopt_BR
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