Successive pandemic waves with different virulent strains and the effects of vaccination for SARS-CoV-2.

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dc.contributor.authorSilva, Alcides Castro e
dc.contributor.authorBernardes, Américo Tristão
dc.contributor.authorBarbosa, Eduardo Augusto Gonçalves
dc.contributor.authorChagas, Igor Aparecido Santana das
dc.contributor.authorCruz, Wesley Francisco Dáttilo da
dc.contributor.authorReis, Alexandre Barbosa
dc.contributor.authorRibeiro, Sérvio Pontes
dc.date.accessioned2022-09-19T21:24:56Z
dc.date.available2022-09-19T21:24:56Z
dc.date.issued2022pt_BR
dc.description.abstractOne hundred years after the flu pandemic of 1918, the world faces an outbreak of a new severe acute respiratory syndrome, caused by a novel coronavirus. With a high transmissibility, the pandemic has spread worldwide, creating a scenario of devastation in many countries. By the middle of 2021, about 3% of the world population had been infected and more than 4 million people had died. Different from the H1N1 pandemic, which had a deadly wave and ceased, the new disease is maintained by successive waves, mainly produced by new virus variants and the small number of vaccinated people. In the present work, we create a version of the SIR model using the spatial localization of persons, their movements, and considering social isolation probabilities. We discuss the effects of virus variants, and the role of vaccination rate in the pandemic dynamics. We show that, unless a global vaccination is implemented, we will have continuous waves of infections.pt_BR
dc.identifier.citationSILVA, A. C. e. et al. Successive pandemic waves with different virulent strains and the effects of vaccination for SARS-CoV-2. Vaccines, v. 10, 2022. Disponível em: <https://www.mdpi.com/2076-393X/10/3/343>. Acesso em: 29 abr. 2022.pt_BR
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines10030343pt_BR
dc.identifier.issn2076-393X
dc.identifier.urihttp://www.repositorio.ufop.br/jspui/handle/123456789/15406
dc.language.isoen_USpt_BR
dc.rightsabertopt_BR
dc.rights.licenseThis article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https:// creativecommons.org/licenses/by/ 4.0/). Fonte: o PDF do artigo.pt_BR
dc.subjectCOVID-19pt_BR
dc.subjectABM-SIR modelpt_BR
dc.titleSuccessive pandemic waves with different virulent strains and the effects of vaccination for SARS-CoV-2.pt_BR
dc.typeArtigo publicado em periodicopt_BR
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