Browsing by Author "Mendes, Mariana Santos Felisbino"

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    Burden of disease attributable to risk factors in Brazil : an analysis of national and subnational estimates from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease study.
    (2022) Malta, Deborah Carvalho; Mendes, Mariana Santos Felisbino; Machado, Ísis Eloah; Veloso, Guilherme Augusto; Gomes, Crizian Saar; Brant, Luisa Campos Caldeira; Ribeiro, Antônio Luiz Pinho; Oliveira, Patrícia Pereira Vasconcelos de; Flor, Luisa Sorio; Gakidou, Emmanuela
    Introduction: Monitoring trends in risk factors (RFs) and the burden of diseases attributable to exposure to RFs is an important measure to identify public health advances and current inadequate efforts. Objective: Analyze the global burden of disease attributable to exposure RFs in Brazil, and its changes from 1990 to 2019, according to the sex and age group. Methods: This study used data from the Global Burden of Disease study. The Summary Exposure Value, which represents weighted prevalence by risk, was used to estimate exposure to RFs. The mortality and DALYs (Disability Adjusted Life Years) measurements were used to estimate the burden of diseases. For comparisons by year and between Brazilian states, age-standardized rates were used. Results: Arterial hypertension was the factor responsible for most deaths in both sexes. For DALYs, the most important RF was the high body mass index (BMI) for women and alcohol consumption for men. Smoking had a substantial reduction in the attributable burden of deaths in the period. An important reduction was identified in the exposure to RFs related to socioeconomic development, such as unsafe water, lack of sanitation, and child malnutrition. Metabolic RFs, such as high BMI, hypertension, and alcohol consumption showed an increase in the attributable burden. Conclusions: Our findings point to an increase in metabolic RFs, which are the main RFs for mortality and DALYs. These results can help to consolidate and strengthen public policies that promote healthy lifestyles, thus reducing disease and death.
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    Burden of non-communicable diseases attributable to dietary risks in Brazil, 1990-2019 : an analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.
    (2022) Machado, Ísis Eloah; Parajára, Magda do Carmo; Guedes, Larissa Fernanda Fonseca; Meireles, Adriana Lúcia; Menezes, Mariana Carvalho de; Mendes, Mariana Santos Felisbino; Verly Júnior, Eliseu; Malta, Deborah Carvalho
    Introduction: An unhealthy diet is a modifiable risk factor for non-communicable diseases (NCDs), one of the most important public health problems in Brazil. This study aimed to analyze the burden of NCDs attributable to dietary risks in Brazil between 1990-2019. Methods: Secondary data from the Global Burden of Disease Study were used to estimate the burden attributable to fifteen dietary risks in Brazil. The main sources of data for Brazil were national surveys and international databases. A comparative risk assessment was used to obtain the population attributable fraction. We described the intake of each dietary risk and the distribution of number and rates of deaths and Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributable to diet by sex, age, state, and year from 1990-2019. Results: Cardiovascular diseases, diabetes mellitus, and neoplasms were the main NCDs attributable to an unhealthy diet. Age-standardized mortality and DALYs rates attributable to unhealthy diet decreased between 1990-2019 (-51.5% and -48.8, respectively). Diet high in red meat and sodium, and low in whole grains were the three main risk factors contributing to the burden of NCDs both in 1990 and 2019. The burden of NCDs was higher among males in the middle-aged population (around 50 years), as well as in the states of Maranhão, Rio de Janeiro, and Alagoas. Conclusions: The present study found a suboptimum diet among the Brazilian population. The major contributors to this burden were diet high in red meat and sodium and low in whole grains. This study supports priorities in public policies on food and nutrition to reduce the burden of NCDs.
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    Health impacts caused by excessive sodium consumption in Brazil : results of the GBD 2019 study.
    (2022) Guedes, Larissa Fernanda Fonseca; Mendes, Mariana Santos Felisbino; Vegi, Aline Siqueira Fogal; Meireles, Adriana Lúcia; Menezes, Mariana Carvalho de; Malta, Deborah Carvalho; Machado, Ísis Eloah
    Introduction: Excessive sodium consumption is associated with increased blood pressure, which is an important risk factor for non-communicable diseases (NCDs). This study therefore aimed to describe the burden of NCDs attributable to excessive sodium consumption among Brazilians. Methods: This observational study used mortality and Disability Adjusted Life Years (DALY) rates, and their respective uncertainty intervals (UI), from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019). The burden was obtained by the population attributable fraction of each NCD, considering the minimum theoretical value of risk (intake of 0-3g of sodium/day); the excessive consumption proportion in the population, obtained through population inquiries; and the relative risks obtained through meta-analyses. Results: Excessive sodium consumption was the third highest dietary risk contributing to deaths (30,814; 95% UI = 2,034 - 84,130) and DALYs (699,119; 95% UI= 43,130 - 1,914,066) in 2019. States from the Northeast region had the highest age-standardized rates of deaths and DALYs, and the male population was more affected by NCDs caused by excessive sodium consumption. Cardiovascular diseases were the main contributing factors in the burden attributable to excessive sodium consumption. Conclusions: Regardless of the progress in addressing NCDs related to this risk factor, the impact remains high, especially among men and in the Northeast region. More effective measures are needed to reduce sodium in industrialized products, such as health promotion actions to combat sodium consumption, in order to prevent and control NCDs in Brazil.
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    A pandemia da COVID-19 no Brasil : a série de projeções do Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation e a evolução observada, maio a agosto de 2020.
    (2021) Stein, Caroline; Cousin, Ewerton; Machado, Ísis Eloah; Mendes, Mariana Santos Felisbino; Passos, Valéria Maria de Azeredo; Sousa, Tatiane Moraes de; Schmidt, Maria Inês; Gallagher, John; Naghavi, Mohsen; Duncan, Bruce Bartholow
    Objetivo: Descrever as projeções do Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) para a COVID-19 no Brasil e seus estados, apresentar sua acurácia e discutir suas implicações. Métodos: As previsões do IHME de maio a agosto de 2020, para o Brasil e alguns estados, foram comparadas ao número de mortes cumulativas observadas. Resultados: A projeção prevê 182.809 mortes causadas pela pandemia até 1o de dezembro de 2020 no Brasil. O aumento no uso de máscara poderia poupar ~17 mil óbitos. O erro médio no número acumulado de óbitos em duas, quatro e seis semanas das projeções foi de 13%, 18% e 22% respectivamente. Conclusão: Projeções de curto e médio prazo dispõem dados importantes e acurácia suficiente para informar os gestores de saúde, autoridades eleitas e sociedade geral. Após trajeto difícil até agosto, a pandemia, conforme as projeções, terá declínio sustentado, embora demorado, causando em média 400 óbitos/dia no início de dezembro.
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    Prevalência da Síndrome Metabólica e seus componentes na população adulta brasileira.
    (2020) Oliveira, Laís Vanessa Assunção; Santos, Bruna Nicole Soares dos; Machado, Ísis Eloah; Malta, Deborah Carvalho; Velásquez Meléndez, Jorge Gustavo; Mendes, Mariana Santos Felisbino
    Estimou-se a prevalência de Síndrome Metabólica (SM) e seus componentes na população brasileira de acordo com fatores sociodemográficos. Estudo transversal, de base populacional, com dados laboratoriais da Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde. Estimou-se prevalência da SM e seus componentes com intervalos de 95% de confiança e Razão de Prevalência (RP) não ajustada e ajustada utilizando regressão de Poisson. A prevalência de SM foi de 38,4%. A circunferência da cintura (CC) alta (65,5%) e colesterol HDL baixo (49,4%) foram os componentes mais prevalentes, inclusive nos jovens. A ocorrência de SM foi maior entre mulheres (41,8%), indivíduos com baixa escolaridade (47,5%) e idosos (66,1%). Na análise ajustada, sexo feminino (RP = 1,16; IC95% 1,08- 1,24), idade avançada (RP = 3,69; IC95% 3,26- 4,17) e baixa escolaridade (RP = 1,32; IC95% 1,17-1,49) associaram-se à ocorrência de SM. A SM foi muito prevalente na população brasileira, principalmente entre mulheres, indivíduos com baixa escolaridade e idosos. A CC alta e o colesterol HDL baixo foram os componentes mais frequentes, com o agravante de prevalências altas em adultos jovens. Esses achados revelam a necessidade de considerar dados laboratoriais para uma análise mais precisa dessa condição, o que em âmbito nacional pode ser um desafio.
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    Saúde cardiovascular e validação do escore autorreferido no Brasil : uma análise da Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde.
    (2020) Moreira, Alexandra Dias; Gomes, Crizian Saar; Machado, Ísis Eloah; Malta, Deborah Carvalho; Mendes, Mariana Santos Felisbino
    O objetivo deste artigo é estimar a prevalência de saúde cardiovascular e a validade do escore autorreferido na população brasileira. Estudo transversal, metodológico, com 8.943 indivíduos adultos e dados laboratoriais da Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde 2013. Escores utilizados: comportamental (índice de massa corporal, tabagismo, dieta, atividade física, ideal se ≥ 3 fatores ideais), biológico (tabagismo, dislipidemia, hipertensão e diabetes, ideal se ≥ 3 fatores ideais) e saúde cardiovascular (todos os fatores, ideal se ≥ 4 fatores ideais). Estimaram-se prevalências dos escores e análises de sensibilidade e especificidade dos escores autorreferidos, considerando padrão -ouro os escores com variáveis aferidas. Apresentaram valores ideais para o escore de saúde cardiovascular 56,7% dos indivíduos aferidos. Para o escore biológico autorreferido, a sensibilidade foi de 92% e a especificidade 30%. Para o comportamental autorreferido, a sensibilidade e a especificidade foram, respectivamente, 90,6% e 97,2%. O escore de saúde cardiovascular autorreferido teve sensibilidade 92,4% e especificidade 48,5%. Pouco mais da metade da população apresentou escore de saúde cardiovascular ideal. O escore autorreferido apresentou boa sensibilidade e menores proporções de especificidade.
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    The burden of non-communicable diseases attributable to high BMI in Brazil, 1990– 2017 : findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study.
    (2020) Mendes, Mariana Santos Felisbino; Cousin, Ewerton; Malta, Deborah Carvalho; Machado, Ísis Eloah; Ribeiro, Antônio Luiz Pinho; Duncan, Bruce Bartholow; Schmidt, Maria Inês; Silva, Diego Augusto Santos; Glenn, Scott; Afshin, Ashkan; Velásquez Meléndez, Jorge Gustavo
    Background: The prevalence and burden of disease resulting from obesity have increased worldwide. In Brazil, more than half of the population is now overweight. However, the impact of this growing risk factor on disease burden remains inexact. Using the 2017 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) results, this study sought to estimate mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) lost to non-communicable diseases caused by high body mass index (BMI) in both sexes and across age categories. This study also aimed to describe the prevalence of overweight and obesity throughout the states of Brazil. Methods: Age-standardized prevalence of overweight and obesity were estimated between 1990 and 2017. A comparative risk assessment was applied to estimate DALYs and deaths for non-communicable diseases and for all causes linked to high BMI. Results: The prevalence of overweight and obesity increased during the period of analysis. Overall, age- standardized prevalence of obesity in Brazil was higher in females (29.8%) than in males (24.6%) in 2017; however, since 1990, males have presented greater rise in obesity (244.1%) than females (165.7%). Increases in prevalence burden were greatest in states from the North and Northeast regions of Brazil. Overall, burden due to high BMI also increased from 1990 to 2017. In 2017, high BMI was responsible for 12.3% (8.8–16.1%) of all deaths and 8.4% (6.3– 10.7%) of total DALYs lost to non-communicable diseases, up from 7.2% (4.1–10.8%), and 4.6% (2.4-6.0%) in 1990, respectively. Change due to risk exposure is the leading contributor to the growth of BMI burden in Brazil. In 2017, high BMI was responsible for 165,954 deaths and 5,095,125 DALYs. Cardiovascular disease and diabetes have proven to be the most prevalent causes of deaths, along with DALYs caused by high BMI, regardless of sex or state. Conclusions: This study demonstrates increasing age-standardized prevalence of obesity in all Brazilian states. High BMI plays an important role in disease burdens in terms of cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, and all causes of mortality. Assessing levels and trends in exposures to high BMI and the resulting disease burden highlights the current priority for primary prevention and public health action initiatives focused on obesity.
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    Trends in mortality due to non- communicable diseases in the Brazilian adult population : national and subnational estimates and projections for 2030.
    (2020) Malta, Deborah Carvalho; Duncan, Bruce Bartholow; Schmidt, Maria Inês; Teixeira, Renato; Ribeiro, Antônio Luiz Pinho; Mendes, Mariana Santos Felisbino; Machado, Ísis Eloah; Velásquez Meléndez, Jorge Gustavo; Brant, Luisa Campos Caldeira; Silva, Diego Augusto Santos; Passos, Valéria Maria de Azeredo; Nascimento, Bruno Ramos; Cousin, Ewerton; Glenn, Scott; Naghavi, Mohsen
    Background: Monitoring and reducing premature mortality due to non-communicable diseases (NCDs) is a global priority of Agenda 2030. This study aimed to describe the mortality trends and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) lost due to NCDs between 1990 and 2017 for Brazil and to project those for 2030 as well as the risk factors (RFs) attributed deaths according to estimates of the Global Burden of Disease Study. Methods: We analyzed cardiovascular diseases, chronic respiratory diseases, neoplasms, and diabetes, and compared the mortality rates in 1990 and 2017 for all of Brazil and states. The study used the definition of premature mortality (30–69 years) that is used by the World Health Organization. The number of deaths, mortality rates, DALYs, and years of life lost (YLL) were used to compare 1990 and 2017. We analyzed the YLL for NCDs attributable to RFs. Results: There was a reduction of 35.3% from 509.1 deaths/100,000 inhabitants (1990) to 329.6 deaths/100,000 inhabitants due to NCDs in 2017. The DALY rate decreased by 33.6%, and the YLL rate decreased by 36.0%. There were reductions in NCDs rates in all 27 states. The main RFs related to premature deaths by NCDs in 2017 among women were high body mass index (BMI), dietary risks, high systolic blood pressure, and among men, dietary risks, high systolic blood pressure, tobacco, and high BMI. Trends in mortality rates due to NCDs declined during the study period; however, after 2015, the curve reversed, and rates fluctuated and tended to increase. Conclusion: Our findings highlighted a decline in premature mortality rates from NCDs nationwide and in all states. There was a greater reduction in deaths from cardiovascular diseases, followed by respiratory diseases, and we observed a minor reduction for those from diabetes and neoplasms. The observed fluctuations in mortality rates over the last 3 years indicate that if no further action is taken, we may not achieve the NCD Sustainable Development Goals. These findings draw attention to the consequences of austerity measures in a socially unequal setting with great regional disparities in which the majority of the population is dependent on state social policies.
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    Trends in prevalence and mortality burden attributable to smoking, Brazil and federated units, 1990 and 2017.
    (2020) Malta, Deborah Carvalho; Flor, Luisa Sorio; Machado, Ísis Eloah; Mendes, Mariana Santos Felisbino; Brant, Luisa Campos Caldeira; Ribeiro, Antônio Luiz Pinho; Teixeira, Renato Azeredo; Macário, Eduardo Marques; Reitsma, Marissa Bettay; Glenn, Scott; Naghavi, Mohsen; Gakidou, Emmanuela
    Background: The present study sought to analyze smoking prevalence and smoking-attributable mortality estimates produced by the 2017 Global Burden of Disease Study for Brazil, 26 states, and the Federal District. Methods: Prevalence of current smokers from 1990 to 2017 by sex and age was estimated using spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression. Population-attributable fractions were calculated for different risk-outcome pairs to generate estimates of smoking-attributable mortality. A cohort analysis of smoking prevalence by birth-year cohort was performed to better understand temporal age patterns in smoking. Smoking-attributable mortality rates were described and analyzed by development at state levels, using the Socio-Demographic Index (SDI). Finally, a decomposition analysis was conducted to evaluate the contribution of different factors to the changes in the number of deaths attributable to smoking between 1990 and 2017. Results: Between 1990 and 2017, prevalence of smoking in the population (≥ 20 years old) decreased from 35.3 to 11.3% in Brazil. This downward trend was seen for both sexes and in all states, with a marked reduction in exposure to this risk factor in younger cohorts. Smoking-attributable mortality rates decreased by 57.8% (95% UI − 61.2, − 54.1) between 1990 and 2017. Overall, larger reductions were observed in states with higher SDI (Pearson correlation 0.637; p < 0.01). In Brazil, smoking remains responsible for a considerable amount of deaths, especially due to cardiovascular diseases and neoplasms. Conclusions: Brazil has adopted a set of regulatory measures and implemented anti-tobacco policies that, along with improvements in socioeconomic conditions, have contributed to the results presented in the present study. Other regulatory measures need to be implemented to boost a reduction in smoking in order to reach the goals established in the scope of the 2030 United Nations Agenda for Sustainable Development.